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Model Guide

This section explains how the Research Strategy model works, including the simulation process, portfolio optimization, and result analysis methods.

Expected Value Computation

How sampled multipliers and organization characteristics become expected values, and how later-year modifiers are applied

Noise And Model Coverage

How the model adds extra uncertainty when model coverage is below 100%, and how noise correlations are specified

Value of Holding Money

How the model represents the value of holding money for unknown future funding opportunities

Information Value

How the model identifies the most important sources of uncertainty

Portfolio Optimization

How optimum portfolios are generated